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Truong Huy Research Tear sheet · model 11 Jun 2026
BMP

Building Materials · Precedent Transactions · LBO

Binh Minh Plastics

BMP valuation distinguishes financial-sponsor affordability from strategic control value.

BMP · VND per share Range / estimate Price used 135.2k · 11 Jun 2026

Precedent

≈152.8k

+13.0%

Precedent: 152.8k; +13.0% versus 135.2k

LBO

142.0k

+5.0%

LBO: 142.0k; +5.0% versus 135.2k

Outputs, VND per share

Precedent ≈152.8k +13.0%
LBO 142.0k +5.0%
Price used 135.2k 11 Jun 2026

Key assumptions

Precedent model
Control-premium transaction analysis
LBO model
Sponsor-return model
Control premium
5.0% in LBO; 13.0% precedent median
Exit / return hurdle
7.5x exit EV/EBITDA; 20.1% IRR
Why methods differ
Precedent above LBO

Conclusion

BMP now shows a clear control-value spread: LBO is the financial-sponsor case at VND 142.0k/share, while precedent transactions imply a higher strategic/control value around VND 152.8k/share.

Key risks

  1. 1 A lower exit multiple or weaker EBITDA path would compress the LBO offer quickly.
  2. 2 Sponsor financing terms, interest costs, and leverage availability can change the clearing price.
  3. 3 Precedent transaction samples can be stale or structurally different from BMP, so the premium output is a guide rather than a hard target.

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